De la Espriella closes his campaign in Barranquilla: “I am certain to win in the first round”| Presidential elections in Colombia 2026, live

De la Espriella closes his campaign in Barranquilla: “I am certain to win in the first round”| Presidential elections in Colombia 2026, live

The far-right candidate, Abelardo de la Espriella, closes his campaign in Barranquilla, his adopted city, at a massive event on the boardwalk near the Magdalena River. Thousands of people attend the event, which has started with music, dance, and the national anthem. José Manuel Restrepo, his vice-presidential running mate, began by proclaiming that theirs “is the people’s campaign.” De la Espriella speaks behind a glass ballot box, as he usually does in speeches. “They told me I had to cancel the tour for security reasons,” he said. “I am not protecting myself with this because I am a coward, as others say, but because I have a responsibility to my wife, my children, and the people of Colombia,” he added.

Read more Cyprus votes in elections marked by corruption scandals and the rise of new parties

Meanwhile, Paloma Valencia, the traditional right-wing presidential candidate, and Sergio Fajardo, the centrist candidate, met in the morning at the Hotel Prado in Barranquilla. The image of the two together, talking eight days before the elections, shows a demeanor and creates a political fact. But it was neither an alliance nor a proposal from her. Valencia insisted that she understands and respects the differences and that she would like to keep talking. Fajardo took advantage to ask several times for votes for him and his political proposal, while reiterating that this will be his last campaign.

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The final photo of the polls: Iván Cepeda first and Abelardo De la Espriella distances himself from Paloma Valencia

ELECTIONS IN COLOMBIA

The final photo of the polls: Iván Cepeda first and Abelardo De la Espriella distances himself from Paloma Valencia

Santiago Torrado

Just one week before the first round, left-wing senator Iván Cepeda reaffirms himself as the leader of the presidential race in Colombia, while far-right Abelardo de la Espriella distances himself from the Uribista Paloma Valencia in the contest that the two right-wing candidates maintain for second place, according to the latest wave of polls published this weekend. The Historic Pact candidate leads the measurement by the National Consulting Center, which published it this Saturday near midnight in the magazine Cambio, with 33.4% voting intention, followed by De la Espriella, with 30.9%, in a technical tie, while Valencia appears third with 12.6%. It is the last poll released before the blackout period that begins this Sunday, and it coincides with others in the order of the top three, although they differ in the distances between them.

Read the full report here.

Santiago Torrado
Santiago Torrado

Latest CNC poll: Iván Cepeda 33.4%, Abelardo De la Espriella 30.9%, and Paloma Valencia 12.6%

Senator Iván Cepeda Castro remains ahead of the other presidential contenders to succeed Gustavo Petro in the first round on May 31, according to the most recent poll by the National Consulting Center for Cambio magazine, showing him with 33.4% voting intention. His closest pursuer, as in all recent measurements, is far-right candidate Abelardo de la Espriella, with 30.9%, distancing himself from Uribista senator Paloma Valencia, third with 12.6%. More lagging are the two more centrist candidates, Claudia López (2.5%) and Sergio Fajardo (2.1%).

This is the fourth and final poll published this weekend, on the eve of the blackout period starting this Sunday. All agree on the order of the top three but differ in the distances between them. In the Invamer poll, released by Noticias Caracol, Cepeda has 44.6% voting intention, De la Espriella 31.6%, and Paloma 14%. In the Guarumo poll, published by El Tiempo, the left-wing candidate has 37.1% of the votes, followed by De la Espriella (27.5%) and Valencia (21.7%). And in the Atlas Intel poll for Semana, a firm surrounded by controversies in Colombia, Cepeda leads with 38.7%, but the far-right candidate is close behind, rising to 37.3%, a technical tie, while Valencia falls to 14.3%.

Camila Osorio
Camila OsorioBarranquilla (COLOMBIA)

De la Espriella concludes his speech: “The next time we see each other, I will be your president”

The candidate ends his speech after opposing Bogotacentricism and those who see him as an “uncouth person unworthy of Bogotá’s prepaid media.” While he speaks, a group of drones draws a tiger in the dark sky of Barranquilla city.

Camila Osorio
Camila OsorioBarranquilla (COLOMBIA)

De la Espriella: “The 100 years of solitude are over… the yellow butterflies will fly again”

The candidate quotes the famous novel by Gabriel García Márquez, as President Gustavo Petro has done throughout his government. Now, with the far-right candidate, that which can end the 100 years of solitude. “In the era of the tiger, there will be progress, future, but above all hope and happiness.”

Camila Osorio
Camila OsorioBarranquilla (COLOMBIA)

De la Espriella, to Cepeda and Petro: “The supposed world power of life became the power of death”

“This is a people who trusted you, who trusted in a change that did not come,” says the candidate about the 2022 voter. “You betrayed the heart of the people who trusted you,” he added, speaking to President Gustavo Petro and his candidate, Iván Cepeda. The far-right aspirant continued talking about the security and health crisis in the last four years, and the corruption of the national risk management unit: “The supposed world power of life became the power of death.”

Camila Osorio
Camila OsorioBarranquilla (COLOMBIA)

De la Espriella speaks again behind a glass ballot box with two men carrying shields on their backs: “Being here at home fills me with strength”

The candidate, born in Monteria, thanks Barranquilla, where he resides and has made much of his career. The candidate speaks behind a glass ballot box, as he usually does in speeches. “They told me I had to cancel the tour for security reasons,” he said. “I am not protecting myself with this because I am a coward, as others say, but because I have a responsibility to my wife, my children, and the people of Colombia,” he added, referring to a criticism made by Uribista candidate Paloma Valencia.

Camila Osorio
Camila OsorioBarranquilla (COLOMBIA)

Abelardo de la Espriella’s speech begins: “I am certain we will win in the first round.”

“Here there are no tamales, here is not Pulgar, nor Name, nor Torres,” starts the far-right candidate, referring to political clans in the region. He does not mention the Char family, the most powerful in the capital from which he speaks, who weeks ago declared their support for the candidate.

Camila Osorio
Camila OsorioBarranquilla (COLOMBIA)

Abelardo de la Espriella’s campaign closing begins in Barranquilla with his vice-presidential running mate

The far-right candidate, Abelardo de la Espriella, closes his campaign in Barranquilla, his city, at a massive event on the boardwalk near the Magdalena River. Thousands of people attend the event, which has started with music, dance, and the national anthem. José Manuel Restrepo, his vice-presidential running mate, began the moment proclaiming that theirs “is the people’s campaign.”

“Here are two people who know the country and will know how to work for Colombia. This is the only ticket from the regions of Colombia. We are going to make history, and Atlántico will make history, and the Caribbean region will make history. After 140 years of history in Colombia, we will have a president from the Caribbean.”

Camila Osorio
Camila OsorioBarranquilla (COLOMBIA)

Abelardo de la Espriella’s closing event goes from champeta to tropipop

A few minutes before Abelardo de la Espriella’s speech begins at his campaign closing in Barranquilla, the audience has been entertained for more than two hours with champeta, tropipop songs, a youth orchestra that played his jingle, and a boy who sang a hip-hop song inspired by a presidential candidate. “Are all elections like this with the presentations?” asks a young attendee to a friend, surprised by the electoral show. The main protagonist is still preparing his words.

Camila Osorio
Camila OsorioBarranquilla (COLOMBIA)

De la Espriella’s voter in Barranquilla trusts the candidate will end extortion in the Caribbean city

Raúl, a furniture seller in Barranquilla, has been campaigning for Abelardo de la Espriella on TikTok since last week and, like several attendees this Sunday at the candidate’s campaign closing event, is sure that ‘The Tiger’ will sweep in his city. “People are tired of extortion, and extortion has increased a lot under this government,” he says about the biggest security problem in his Caribbean city.

“I like Abelardo because he has guts: he is not afraid to enforce the law, pursue criminals, not defend criminals like Cepeda,” he adds. The fact that De la Espriella has been a defender of several mafiosos does not bother him: “A lawyer is like a doctor, you don’t deny service, that doesn’t mean anything.”

Camila Osorio
Camila OsorioBarranquilla (COLOMBIA)
A boat with the image of Abelardo de la Espriella sails in front of the Barranquilla boardwalk during the candidate's campaign closing.

A boat with Abelardo de la Espriella’s logos sails in front of the Barranquilla boardwalk during the candidate’s campaign closing on May 23. / Mariano Vimos

Abelardo de la Espriella’s campaign closing in Barranquilla

Although people are still arriving at Abelardo de la Espriella’s event, the audience around the stage has been singing some of the songs coordinated by two presenters. Several of these optimistically say that De la Espriella can win in the first round, an optimism that also fills the campaign of the left counterpart, that of Senator Iván Cepeda, which hopes to win on May 31. The truth is that neither Cepeda nor De la Espriella, leaders in the polls, yet register more than 50%. On Sunday, Cepeda will also have his campaign closing in the same Caribbean city, and it is filled with optimism to decide the presidential race in the first round.

Camila Osorio
Camila OsorioBarranquilla (COLOMBIA)

Abelardo de la Espriella mobilizes hundreds in Barranquilla: “Mark the line on the ballot and we get out of this mess”

Candidate Abelardo de la Espriella prepares for the first of his two big campaign closing events, starting in Barranquilla this afternoon and tomorrow in Medellín. The sandy city is also the capital of the Caribbean, where he has a residence and where many came out wearing Colombia shirts for the event that will take place on the boardwalk next to the Magdalena River.

There is heavy traffic towards the glass pavilion, which is blocked, and most of his supporters walk in the heat to see their candidate. “Veteran military are firmly with Abelardo. Mark the line on the ballot and we get out of this mess,” says a navy non-commissioned officer dressed as a tiger waiting in line to see the presidential candidate.

Santiago Torrado
Santiago Torrado

A review of the latest polls: Cepeda first, De la Espriella second, and Valencia third

Senator Iván Cepeda, the left-wing Colombian candidate, maintains his first place in the latest wave of polls for the first round on May 31, followed by far-right Abelardo de la Espriella, who holds second place, and Uribista Paloma Valencia in third. Between Thursday and Friday, the latest voting intention measurements from Invamer, Guarumo, and AtlasIntel were published. All agree on the order of the top three, although they differ in the distances between them. More lagging are the two centrist candidates, Sergio Fajardo and Claudia López. A fourth pollster, the National Consulting Center, will publish its last opinion study this weekend before the blackout period begins this Sunday. Here is a graphic review of the latest polls:

Fajardo says the coffee was an opportunity “to explain to Colombia why we represent what we represent”

After the coffee with Paloma Valencia, broadcast on social media, the centrist candidate reiterates his message: he has no fundamental differences with the way the right-wing aspirant campaigns. “Yesterday, when Paloma Valencia filled a square, on a stage surrounded by many people – some of whom, I told her, would never be by my side in life – we were handing out flyers with a world of young people, at a traffic light.”

There was no agreement between Valencia and Fajardo

Candidate Paloma Valencia confirms after the meeting that there was no agreement but that she will continue seeking a coalition: “this story will continue”

Paloma Valencia and Sergio Fajardo have coffee together

The established right-wing presidential candidate and the centrist aspirant meet, in front of cameras, at the Hotel Prado in Barranquilla.

Santiago Torrado
Santiago Torrado

Iván Cepeda at his campaign closing: “Uribe is fascist”

Senator Iván Cepeda, the left-wing presidential candidate of the Historic Pact, has harshly criticized former President Álvaro Uribe in the speech he is reading this Friday at his campaign closing event in Bolívar Square, in the heart of Bogotá. “Uribismo is fascist, it represents the ideology of contempt,” said the Historic Pact aspirant about the political current of the former president, with whom he has been facing justice for over a decade. “Neither centrist nor democratic,” he said about the party founded by the former president. “Uribe is fascist, let’s say it clearly and once and for all,” he added in the speech he is still delivering in the center of the Colombian capital.

Santiago Torrado
Santiago Torrado

AtlasIntel shoots at Abelardo de la Espriella, who approaches Iván Cepeda to a technical tie

Pollster AtlasIntel, surrounded by controversies for its role and methodology in Colombia, publishes its latest measurement in the edition of Semana magazine circulating from this Saturday. Left-wing senator Iván Cepeda remains at the top with 38.7% voting intention, but the biggest news is the far-right Abelardo de la Espriella, who is close behind and rises to 37.3%, a technical tie. Uribista Paloma Valencia, in third place, falls to 14.3%. More lagging are the two centrist candidates, Sergio Fajardo (3.8%) and Claudia López (1.1%).

This is the third poll published this weekend, a few days before the first round on May 31. All agree on the order of the top three but differ in the distances between them. In the Invamer poll, released by Noticias Caracol, Cepeda has 44.6% voting intention, De la Espriella 31.6%, and Paloma 14%. In the Guarumo poll, published by El Tiempo, the left-wing Colombian candidate would win the first round with 37.1% of the votes, followed by De la Espriella (27.5%) and Valencia (21.7%).

Sergio Fajardo, after accepting coffee with Paloma Valencia: “I will explain why what Colombia needs is a serious and safe change”

Centrist presidential candidate Sergio Fajardo has elaborated this Friday, in a brief statement to EL PAÍS, on the details of the invitation to have coffee that Uribista aspirant Paloma Valencia made earlier. “For me, it was a surprising invitation,” said Fajardo from Barranquilla, reiterating that his condition for such a meeting is that it be public. “I will listen carefully to what she has to say. I will explain why what Colombia needs is a serious and safe change that ends this polarization associated with President Petro and former President Uribe,” said the former mayor of Medellín. Fajardo has proposed to Valencia that the meeting take place this Saturday at eight in the morning at the El Prado hotel in Barranquilla.

Fajardo agrees to meet with Valencia but remains a candidate “against extreme positions”

Centrist presidential candidate Sergio Fajardo has agreed to meet for coffee proposed earlier by Uribista aspirant Paloma Valencia, aiming for a possible alliance. Although the former mayor of Medellín has shown receptiveness to the proposal and invited her to make the conversation public to the whole country — this Saturday at eight in the morning at the El Prado hotel in Barranquilla — he has insisted that his aspiration is “what Colombia needs now, against extreme positions,” in a message that hints at an apparent decline of the proposal. Several weeks ago, Fajardo had met with also centrist Claudia López, but no alliance was finalized between them either.

Camila Osorio
Camila Osorio

Senator elected in De La Espriella’s campaign apologizes for insulting Uribismo

Far-right influencer Alejandro Bermeo, senator elected in March for the Salvación Nacional party that endorses candidate Abelardo De La Espriella, has apologized for insulting the other, more traditional right, represented by former President Álvaro Uribe. When the former president said that one of De La Espriella’s influencers, Santiago Giraldo, is part of the group that “destroys democracy, poses as Milei’s advisors, believes slander is valid in politics,” Bermeo said that sounded like a threat.

“It is serious that the old patriarch of Uribismo wants to kill Santiago Giraldo,” Bermeo wrote on his X account. “Today, seeing his political grave, in his desperation he activates the chainsaw one last time against the free people.” That is, he not only called him a possible murderer but one who would use a chainsaw, as paramilitaries did. The accusation that Uribe is a partner of paramilitaries is usually made from the left, not the far right.

Bermeo apologized after Abelardo de la Espriella wrote on his social media that he condemns “any attack against President @AlvaroUribeVel, whom I appreciate and admire.” “I regret that in the heat of the race for the second-round spot, my opinions were unfair and disproportionate,” Bermeo wrote in his apology. “Apologies to Mr. Uribe and his followers who felt addressed,” he added.

Before the apologies, several Uribista politicians immediately criticized Bermeo and De La Espriella, especially Uribismo candidate Paloma Valencia, who competes for the right-wing vote absorbed by the penalist’s campaign. “This is the senator of ‘The Tiger’ mistreating President Uribe,” she said about Bermeo. “There are limits that should never have been crossed and were crossed,” said Bogotá-elected representative Daniel Briceño. “It is alarming that a senator elected by Salvación Nacional shamelessly replicates the mendacious and hateful narratives of Petrismo against Uribe thinking it favors his candidate,” said Senator Andrés Forero.

But the most upset was one of Álvaro Uribe’s sons, Tomás, who rejected that De La Espriella’s campaign accuses Uribismo of “killing Miguel Uribe,” he says in a video referring to the Uribista senator murdered last year. Above all, he criticizes that they use left-wing language: “Now they talk about ending the ‘paraquiza’ and the ‘uribato,’ in the best Petrista style. They accuse Paloma of wanting to kill Abelardo. And they accuse Uribe of wanting to kill an influencer.” Then he issued a warning for the second round. “They believe that in the second round Abelardo and Paloma will hug and Cepeda will be defeated. Four years ago, we all thought the five million people who voted for Fico in the first round would vote for Rodolfo in the second. And it was not so,” he said. While there are Uribistas who support De La Espriella, Tomás Uribe admits, “these people are making many other Uribistas feel anger and indignation. The way they are acting, again, in the best Petrista style, will lead us to lose the country.”

Diego Stacey
Diego Stacey

Paloma Valencia schedules her campaign closings in Barranquilla, Antioquia, and Bogotá

Despite the setback in the polls, Paloma Valencia maintains her agenda in the final stretch of the campaign. The first stop is this Friday in Barranquilla, at Plaza de la Paz. The Caribbean is one of the most contested regions due to the number of votes it adds. Her contenders, Iván Cepeda and Abelardo de la Espriella, will also be in the capital of Atlántico this weekend.

On Saturday, Valencia will be in Antioquia, the main stronghold of Uribismo, and will very likely be accompanied by former President Álvaro Uribe. First, she will have an event at Belén Park in Medellín, and then she will go to the municipalities of Envigado and Rionegro.

The official campaign closing will be at the Movistar Arena in Bogotá. She is the only frontrunner who ends her events in the Colombian capital, a setting that in presidential elections has always leaned more to the left. With this closing, she hopes to mark her more moderate discourse and appeal to undecided and centrist voters in the capital.

Iván Cepeda closes his campaign with a concert in Bolívar Square in Bogotá

After more than a hundred events in public squares throughout Colombia, Historic Pact candidate, left-wing senator Iván Cepeda, closes his campaign this Friday in Bogotá with a concert in Bolívar Square, in the heart of the capital, where he will be accompanied by his vice-presidential running mate, indigenous senator Aida Quilcué. Other members of the Alliance for Life, the electoral coalition that also includes the Green Alliance and En Marcha parties, as well as grassroots liberal movements dissatisfied with the party leadership – which supports Paloma Valencia’s candidacy – will also be present. Senator Cepeda, leading the polls for the first round on May 31, has already had several territorial closings and will have two more when he visits Cartagena on Saturday and Barranquilla on Sunday, the last day campaign events in public squares are allowed.

Emma Jaramillo Bernat
Emma Jaramillo Bernat

Paloma Valencia suggests an alliance with Fajardo: “Doctor Sergio, I need to have coffee with you”

Although the message is subtle, an invitation to have coffee, the message is clear: Paloma Valencia is considering the possibility of allying with centrist candidate Sergio Fajardo. Eight days before the first round, with ballots prepared, an alliance is impossible. However, Valencia’s proposal echoes with a view to the runoff. “There are people who are so valuable, who have contributed so much to this country like Sergio Fajardo, that I immediately think, Doctor Sergio, I need to have coffee with you, because this is the time to think about the country and where that need to build the future must lead us to unity,” she said in a video released on her social media, recorded from the Corabastos market square in Bogotá.

Read more The bull Langosto and the picador Puchano, an exciting fight

The candidate’s campaign has explained that the tweet was made in the sense of “adding wills to face the continuity represented by Iván Cepeda.” The Uribista candidate’s proposal comes after the results of the latest polls became known. The Invamer poll does not leave her well positioned. According to that survey, the left-wing presidential candidate, Senator Iván Cepeda, would win the presidency. In the first round, the official candidate maintains the lead with 44% voting intention, well above not only Valencia but also the other right-wing candidate, Abelardo de la Espriella. In a possible second round against either of the two, the poll says, Cepeda would also win: 52.4% for him over 45.3% for De la Espriella; and 52.8% over 44.3% for Valencia. The Centro Democrático candidate has called those results implausible.

Santiago Torrado
Santiago Torrado

Iván Cepeda presents seven social programs

Candidate Iván Cepeda, who promises to deepen social transformations with a government of continuity compared to Gustavo Petro’s, presented this Thursday his strategies focused on eliminating poverty and overcoming social inequality. Specifically, a set of seven programs for social welfare. His proposal, explained in a press conference in Bogotá, includes strengthening and expanding the Colombia Mayor, Renta Joven, and Renta Ciudadana programs, as well as creating Income for people with disabilities, Income for social leaders, Direct purchase of food from farmers, and Purchase of school supplies for low-income families. He also proposed to agree with entrepreneurs on a plan of social programs for taxes and plans to meet next week with the Business Council. The cost of this set of social programs, the campaign points out, will be 3 trillion pesos. “It is not a statist or nationalization program; on the contrary, it stimulates business production and micro-entrepreneurship,” defended the left-wing aspirant.

Emma Jaramillo Bernat
Emma Jaramillo Bernat

Paloma Valencia says the Invamer poll is “implausible”

Centro Democrático candidate Paloma Valencia has said this Friday via a tweet that the results of the Invamer poll, which do not favor her, are implausible. For her, it is false that Cepeda is close to winning in the first round or that he could win in the second round, whether facing her or Abelardo de la Espriella.

According to the latest poll published by Invamer this Thursday, just a week and a half before the first round on May 31, the left-wing candidate, Senator Iván Cepeda, would win the presidency of Colombia. The survey points out that in a possible second round against either of the two (Valencia or De la Espriella), Cepeda would also win: 52.4% for him, above 45.3% for De la Espriella; and 52.8% above 44.3% for Valencia.

The figures of this poll, with a margin of error of 2.4%, do not favor Valencia. Her voting intention dropped from 19% to 14% compared to the previous measurement in April, and her argument that she is the only one who can beat Cepeda in a second round by capturing centrist votes loses strength.

See more information: Iván Cepeda wins in the second round against Paloma Valencia or Abelardo de la Espriella, according to the Invamer poll

Camila Osorio
Camila Osorio

Bogotá’s mayor accuses President Petro of encouraging attacks against candidate Paloma Valencia’s headquarters

Bogotá’s mayor Carlos Fernando Galán blamed President Gustavo Petro for the attacks a group of protesters made today against the headquarters in the capital of Uribista candidate Paloma Valencia. “The acts of vandalism today in Bogotá are not social protest, they are violence,” said the mayor. “And what is even more serious, it is violence encouraged by statements from President Petro himself,” he added. “Saying that the facades of private property are public and can be graffitied, as the president did, encourages attacks like today’s against candidate Paloma Valencia’s headquarters and the MIRA party,” he said. For the mayor, these attacks are “attacks on democracy,” and therefore he says the response must be “massive voting. Democracy is defended with the vote.” Galán also asks the National Government to issue a written order so that the police can accompany protesters to ensure peaceful elections. “Mr. President, it is your constitutional duty to do everything necessary to prevent violent acts like today’s, and even worse, from happening again before the elections. Act responsibly, as the president of all Colombians.”

Valentina Parada Lugo
Valentina Parada Lugo

Invamer predicts Iván Cepeda’s victory in all scenarios

Invamer, the country’s main polling firm, published this Thursday its final measurement before the first round on May 31 and predicts Iván Cepeda’s victory in any second-round scenario. The left-wing candidate remains solid with 44.6% voting intention, barely growing 0.3% compared to the April measurement. The second favorite is Abelardo de la Espriella, the far-right candidate, who grew ten points compared to the previous measurement and stands at 31.6%, closing the gap and consolidating himself as Cepeda’s main rival. Uribista Paloma Valencia, on the other hand, lost almost six points and falls to 14%, complicating her path to a possible second round.

If the dispute reaches June, the left-wing candidate also wins in any scenario. In a possible election with De la Espriella, the progressive candidate would get 52.4% of the votes, against 45.3% for the far-right aspirant. The margin remains almost the same if the opponent is Paloma Valencia: Cepeda would win with 52.8%, against 44.3% for the Uribista candidate.

The poll reflects responses from 3,800 respondents, representing 79.9% urban and 20.1% rural respondents. Most of these come from the country’s poorest social classes, with 22.8% of respondents from stratum 1, and 31.0% from stratum 2.

Valencia and De la Espriella would beat Cepeda in the second round, according to Guarumo poll

Paloma Valencia and Abelardo de la Espriella, the right-wing presidential candidates, would defeat officialist aspirant Iván Cepeda in the second round, according to the Guarumo poll released this Thursday. The survey is one of the few that puts Cepeda in an unfavorable position, who has led all polls for months, even in second-round scenarios.

According to Guarumo, Cepeda would win the first round with 37.1% of the votes, followed by De la Espriella (27.5%) and Valencia (21.7%). Far behind are centrist candidate Sergio Fajardo (3.2%) and far-right Santiago Botero (1.6%). Claudia López gets 1.5% support in this poll. Despite Cepeda’s victory in the May 31 vote, he is also the candidate who generates the most resistance, according to Guarumo: 42.9% of respondents would never vote for him.

In a second-round scenario between Cepeda and De la Espriella, the officialist candidate would get 40.0% of the votes, while the far-right lawyer would win with 43.6%. And in a possible contest between the officialist senator and Paloma Valencia, he would get 39.9%, against 44.8% that would give victory to the Centro Democrático candidate. If the final election candidates were De la Espriella and Valencia, the lawyer would also win with 32.2% of the votes, slightly above the Payanesa senator (30.3%).

The Guarumo poll was conducted between May 11 and 19 in 85 municipalities across Colombia chosen randomly. It involved 3,787 adults (3,269 in urban areas and 518 in rural areas) who declared their intention to vote on May 31. Interviews were conducted face-to-face, in homes, with ballots with candidates’ photos as support material. The margin of error is 2.2%.

The national government and Bogotá’s mayor’s office reject attacks against Paloma Valencia’s headquarters

The national government and Bogotá’s mayor’s office have rejected this Thursday the attacks on the campaign headquarters of Uribista presidential candidate Paloma Valencia in the Chapinero locality, in the capital, where there have been several demonstrations throughout the day. Interior Minister Armando Benedetti has condemned the acts and announced in a statement to several media that there will be coordination between the government and candidates’ campaigns to guarantee security, not only by increasing the number of police officers but also with intelligence members. Bogotá’s mayor, Carlos Fernando Galán, wrote on his social media: “Violent acts like these are reprehensible and an affront to democracy itself. We cannot be mistaken: political violence escalates quickly, and we must distance ourselves from discourses that romanticize or justify it.”

Lucas Reynoso
Lucas Reynoso

A group of protesters attacks Paloma Valencia’s headquarters in Bogotá

A group of protesters attacked Paloma Valencia’s headquarters in Bogotá, at the intersection of Seventh Avenue and 53rd Street. They destroyed a poster of the presidential candidate and her running mate and made several graffiti with insults. “Murderers,” “paracos,” “uribestia,” are some of the inscriptions left on the facade. The director of Centro Democrático, Gabriel Vallejo, has defined these actions as “an act of political terrorism” and accused President Gustavo Petro and his candidate, Iván Cepeda, of promoting them. “I hold you responsible for what is happening in this campaign; you are responsible for political violence,” he said in a video.

The campaign, meanwhile, issued a statement with more cautious language. “It is unacceptable that a group of people broke into the place to graffiti the facilities, steal items from the facade, and endanger the safety of the people inside the headquarters at that moment,” the text reads. “A few days before the elections, these events show the lack of guarantees for the opposition in Colombia (…) We urgently call on the authorities to investigate what happened, identify those responsible, and guarantee security conditions for all political actors in the country,” it adds.

The Oviedo team, for its part, released a video showing the vice-presidential candidate painting the facade again with other militants. “Against the destroyers, we BUILD,” they declared. Then, they shared another video with Oviedo’s statements: “This shows something extremely worrying: while contradiction is the fundamental principle of democracy, today that contradiction is being abused in harassment of people and incitement to hatred (…). We will defeat hatred and move to the second round.”

Valentina Parada Lugo
Valentina Parada Lugo
A fight in the National Electoral Council leaves Atlas Intel polls in limbo

ELECTIONS IN COLOMBIA

A fight in the National Electoral Council leaves Atlas Intel polls in limbo

Valentina Parada Lugo

The fight in the National Electoral Council (CNE) continues behind closed doors, without defining the future of the publications of pollster Atlas Intel. A video circulated on social media this Thursday shows the shouting exchanged between magistrates Fabiola Márquez, from the officialist Historic Pact and who has issued a resolution to suspend the publication of those measurements, and Álvaro Hernán Prada, from the opposition Centro Democrático. Although divisions and tensions within that authority, of political origin and fundamental for regulating elections and parties, are not unusual, the images show an unprecedented level of tension that poisons the atmosphere just 10 days before the presidential elections.

The legal and political debate during a plenary session revolves around Márquez’s decision, rapporteur of one of the several investigations that, due to various citizen complaints, the CNE is conducting against the Brazilian firm for the polls published by Semana magazine showing that far-right candidate Abelardo de la Espriella would go to the second round and win there against officialist Iván Cepeda. The magistrate signed the resolution this Wednesday ordering the preventive suspension after a complaint from congressman Alejandro Toro, from her same party, questioning the company’s use of a digital collection method and alleging it excludes people without internet access in rural areas. Semana filed a reconsideration appeal, which Márquez herself must decide.

Lucas Reynoso
Lucas Reynoso

Oviedo responds to harassment from De la Espriella’s campaign over his psychoactive substance use: “I will not hide my story”

Juan Daniel Oviedo has responded to harassment from far-right Abelardo de la Espriella’s campaign over his use of psychoactive substances. “Yes, I have used psychoactive substances, but (…) that is not a reality at this moment and that does not make me a drug addict. It makes me a person who recognizes his own truth and shows it to the general public. I will not lie to myself or my friends to look politically correct,” he said on Blu Radio, after his rivals said Colombia “cannot afford to continue having drug addicts in the government” and shared a fragment of a last year’s interview in which Oviedo admitted to having used cocaine. “Having used psychoactive substances is the result of a life in Europe, of having known the world from different perspectives,” added Paloma Valencia’s vice-presidential candidate.

The former Bogotá councilor also spoke on X, a few hours after the Blu Radio interview. “People ask for honest politicians until someone decides to be one. They asked me if I had ever used psychoactive substances. The answer was yes. And I also said something more important: I am not a drug addict,” he emphasized. “We talk about honesty, transparency, and corruption, but many times we prefer politicians who disguise or hide parts of their lives to appear perfect in front of people. I believe the opposite,” he defended. He also commented that Colombia needs its citizens to recognize who they are, with their strengths and flaws, to move forward. He believes he can be an example of that sincerity: “On my side, I will not hide my story to seem something I am not. On the contrary, I will take it to show who I am.”

Emma Jaramillo Bernat
Emma Jaramillo Bernat

Luis Almagro expresses support for Paloma Valencia: “The other candidate has the characteristics of a partygoer in Miami”

In a press conference, the former Secretary General of the Organization of American States (OAS) expressed his support for Paloma Valencia’s candidacy: “She is the best candidate,” he said. The Uruguayan diplomat, who presided over the multilateral organization for ten years, took the opportunity to attack the other right-wing candidate, Abelardo de la Espriella, whom he described as someone who “presents himself with a lot of frivolity and characteristics of a partygoer in Miami.”

He also criticized current President Gustavo Petro: “I think you already approved a partygoer in Miami in the last election, and I think that didn’t work. Will it be the same now? Will another partygoer from Miami be elected?” he said in front of several media microphones. Valencia, on the other hand, he described as “the strongest person,” who can bring “the dignity of being in a party watered with the blood of Miguel Uribe,” the murdered presidential pre-candidate.

Diego Stacey
Diego Stacey
Gustavo Petro clashes again with Bernie Moreno over elections: “The free decision of the Colombian people is respected”

ELECTIONS IN COLOMBIA

Gustavo Petro clashes again with Bernie Moreno over elections: “The free decision of the Colombian people is respected”

Diego Stacey

President Gustavo Petro and U.S. Senator Bernie Moreno have clashed again over the elections to be held next Sunday. The president reacted Wednesday night to statements by the Ohio congressman warning that the United States would not recognize the election results if it found coercion against voters by armed groups. “The free decision of the Colombian people is respected. This is a democracy, not servitude,” Petro responded.

Read the full news here.

Lucas Reynoso
Lucas Reynoso

Aida Quilcué accepts Vicky Dávila’s proposal to paint a mural for minors recruited by the FARC: “I have defended children all my life”

Vice-presidential candidate Aida Quilcué and right-wing communicator Vicky Dávila have exchanged a series of messages on X about the memory of the armed conflict in artistic murals. The indigenous leader, Iván Cepeda’s running mate, started the discussion by supporting a series of graffiti about the so-called false positives (the killing of civilians that the military presented as combat casualties) that some human rights groups made near former President Álvaro Uribe’s house. “The memory of the 7,837 young people killed in the false positives during his government remains alive in the mothers, fathers, siblings, children, friends, and communities still waiting for truth, justice, and to find the bodies of their loved ones,” she declared on X. Dávila responded that she should also be interested in the 18,677 minors recruited by the FARC guerrilla and invited her to make another mural about them. “Don’t those matter to you?” she reproached. “The murders, disappearances, rapes, abortions, and many more crimes against humanity committed against those more than 18,000 minors must be repudiated and punished by all Colombians and by you.”

Quilcué accepted the offer in a new message on X. “Of course, Mrs. Vicky Dávila. Let’s make that artistic mural (…). But I also invite you to walk with me through the rural areas of that deep Colombia to rescue children and young people recruited, as I have done for decades,” she said. The indigenous leader and senator emphasized that she has fought for children’s rights all her life: “Can you prove that I have not defended the children of this country? I was recognized as National Human Rights Defender in 2021 for a lifetime dedicated to this work. Who said that the 18,677 children and adolescents don’t matter to us? They are an essential part of Colombia, and our duty will always be to protect them. That is why we have insisted on seeking peace in the territories, to prevent that painful figure, evidenced by the JEP, from increasing.”

De la Espriella responds to criticisms from Rosa Elvira Cely’s sister and claims “a change in Colombia’s legal history”

Far-right presidential candidate Abelardo de la Espriella responded this Wednesday to criticisms made by Rosa Elvira Cely’s sister, a femicide victim in 2012 whose name was used for the law that typifies femicide as a crime in Colombia. “Abelardo, as a criminal lawyer, achieved a change in the country’s legal history,” he wrote in a statement released Wednesday night. The document adds that the lawyer “legally proved that Rosa Elvira was killed simply for being a woman,” one of the claims that Rosa Elvira’s sister, Adriana Cely, precisely denies, reproaching him for not using the aggravating circumstance that at that time the Penal Code contemplated to punish crimes similar to femicide.

“He lies when he says that thanks to him the femicide law was made,” Cely states. “If he really had a gender perspective, why did he never use the aggravating circumstance of the murder of a woman for being a woman?” the woman questions later in a piece published by this newspaper. De la Espriella’s statement continues: “With this litigation […] he promoted Law 1761 of 2015 (Rosa Elvira Cely Law), which created femicide as an autonomous crime in Colombia,” another claim that three women who contributed to the drafting and parliamentary promotion of the text flatly reject. “Not a comma,” they told EL PAÍS about their contribution.

Emma Jaramillo Bernat
Emma Jaramillo Bernat

Iván Cepeda demands Paloma Valencia and her family apologize for land dispossession

Historic Pact candidate Iván Cepeda has formally requested that his opponent from Centro Democrático, Paloma Valencia, and her family “publicly apologize to indigenous, Afro-descendant communities, and Colombian peasants for having dispossessed them of their lands, as well as for having discriminated against, stigmatized, and persecuted them.” In a public speech, reproduced on the Historic Pact’s social media, Cepeda questioned Valencia’s origins, coming from a family of aristocrats and landowners from Cauca, in southwestern Colombia. “Candidate Paloma Valencia and her ancestors dispossessed indigenous peoples of their lands,” he said, although he did not mention any specific case.

Cepeda thus appeals to the colonial period, when Spaniards settled in American lands, a complex period of mestizaje that generated unrest and cultural clashes with the peoples already settled on those lands; unrest that continues to this day. The Valencia family’s presence in Cauca dates back to the 18th century, with the arrival of Spanish nobleman Pedro Agustín de Valencia, and the candidate’s paternal grandfather is former President Guillermo León Valencia, a conservative who led the country between 1962 and 1966. “Colombia has changed and no longer believes in lies,” the candidate added.

Cepeda also mentioned Manuel Quintín Lame, a Colombian indigenous leader from the Nasa people, who was persecuted by landowners and conservative sectors. Finally, he referred to a relatively recent event involving Valencia, who proposed in 2015 a referendum to divide Cauca into two, one for indigenous people and another for mestizos; then Afro-descendants would choose which they wanted to belong to.
Regarding this, Cepeda concluded: “They have sought to segregate them territorially.”

Camila Osorio
Camila Osorio

Iván Cepeda says graffiti artists near Álvaro Uribe’s house were threatened; Paloma Valencia says they had daggers

Left-wing presidential candidate Iván Cepeda has denounced that members of the cultural collective who wanted to make graffiti yesterday near former President Álvaro Uribe’s house have been threatened after the right-wing politician accused them of aggression against his home. “Yesterday, threateningly, [Álvaro Uribe] responded to a cultural act by young people and victims painting a mural on the road leading to one of his numerous estates,” said the senator and candidate. “As a result of those aggressions, we have had reports today that several Historic Pact leaders and people who participated in that cultural act have been threatened,” he added. He mentions the affected by name: “Hernán Muriel Pérez, Camilo Restrepo Gómez, members of the Fuerza y Gratifi collective, members of the Cofradía para el Cambio team, Laura Manuela Gómez, Stiven Pérez.” The candidate also says he holds “Álvaro Uribe directly responsible for any violent action or harassment against him.”

Uribista presidential candidate Senator Paloma Valencia said the collective in front of Álvaro Uribe’s house had daggers. “At their ‘cultural act’ they arrived with daggers in front of the Uribe Moreno family’s house,” she wrote on social media. “First the mural, then the dagger, then the bullet. We already saw it with Miguel Uribe,” she added, referring to the assassination of one of the Uribista senators last year.

Officialist senator Alexander López attacks Defense Minister for lack of military presence on the Pan-American highway

Yesterday, Iván Mordisco’s guerrilla dissidents attacked officialist senator Alexander López on the Pan-American highway in the southwest of the country. The armed men fired at a vehicle accompanying the senator, who escaped unharmed because he was in another car. Today, the senator criticized the Defense Minister for the absence of public force at the point where the events occurred. “On that route, I did not see any public force control,” he said about the route between the capitals of Cali and Popayán. “I warned the minister at noon,” he added and said the minister would address the concern. “And the truth is, he took no measures,” López continued, who expects a report from the ministry on why this situation occurred in an area that has already experienced other attacks.

It is a complaint similar to one made by President Gustavo Petro last night to the same minister, Pedro Sánchez. “The attack site is one kilometer from where the same drug trafficking group exploded bombs that killed 21 civilians. Why does a point that is permanently attacked by the armed group not have armed forces surveillance?” said the president.

Paloma Valencia announces Juan Daniel Oviedo as manager to address the health crisis

The Uribista candidate has announced that her vice-presidential running mate, economist Juan Daniel Oviedo, will be in charge of addressing the health emergency in Colombia in the first 100 days if they win the elections. Oviedo is a technician who became popular when he was director of the national statistics department (DANE), with detailed public reports during the pandemic, earning the trust of thousands of citizens. The candidate recalled this past when announcing Oviedo’s new role, which she must grant him if he becomes vice president. “I take on this challenge with the responsibility of clearing 10 million backlogged appointments, medications that have not been delivered, treatments that have not been done,” Oviedo said upon receiving the possible manager position. “And something very important: we will solve the problem of corruption in health resources.”

Santiago Torrado
Santiago Torrado

Iván Cepeda rejects the kidnapping attempt against Senator Alexander López

Senator Iván Cepeda, Historic Pact presidential candidate, expressed Tuesday night his “strong rejection” of the “kidnapping attempt” suffered by fellow senator Alexander López. The congressman, the main coordinator of the Pact’s campaign in the southwest of the country, was returning by road from Popayán to Cali when armed men fired bursts of rifle shots at an armored vehicle of his security detail, according to President Gustavo Petro’s initial report. “Preliminary information indicates that this macabre action is the work of a dissident group,” wrote Cepeda, who had campaign events in Popayán Tuesday. “I request effective investigation by the authorities and the capture of the perpetrators of this criminal act,” he added.

Santiago Torrado
Santiago Torrado

Iván Cepeda denounces new pressures from armed groups on voters

Senator Iván Cepeda, Historic Pact candidate, announced Tuesday from Popayán that he will file a formal complaint with the Prosecutor’s Office about pressures from an armed group in the Guaviare department. “We have received information and documents indicating that an armed group, apparently one of the dissident groups, is carrying out actions to pressure and coerce the electorate,” he said during a last-minute statement in the Cauca capital. “I will provide both audios and images that will be very clear regarding the complaint I make,” he promised, without making details public. He also reiterated, once again, that, along with his vice-presidential running mate, Senator Aida Quilcué, they reject any type of pressure on voters. “We have not asked for, nor do we accept under any circumstances, that armed action be used to pressure, limit, censor, or constrain the electorate,” he emphasized.

Uribe, after the graffiti of a mural near his house: “They have to kill me first before coming to mistreat my family”

Former President Álvaro Uribe, leader of the Colombian right, complained Tuesday about the graffiti of a mural on a bridge near his house in Rionegro (Antioquia). According to the ex-president, he had to interrupt his political activities in Medellín to go to the vicinity of his residence after being informed of the presence of Historic Pact members in the area. The former president said: “There was a large number of people protecting some painters to affect me, at my house.”

In his statement, released in a video showing him with a roller to cover the mural, Uribe said it was a “provocation of violence,” and added: “They have to kill me first before coming to mistreat my family.” However, there was no aggression from any side. He also called on his fellow party members: “I ask Centro Democrático to be very calm with these people but very firm. Wherever they are going to be attacked in Colombia, they must be confronted.”

Later, without any proof of his claim, he said the mural painting was encouraged by “terrorist groups and their spokesman Iván Cepeda,” the officialist candidate and leader in all polls for months. “This is the prelude to a Cepeda government,” he added. A similar accusation, also without proof, was made against Historic Pact-elected representative Hernán Muriel, who made the call and whom he accused of being elected “by votes imposed by terrorism.”

Later, in a public statement, Centro Democrático rejected what it calls “vandal acts carried out by groups affiliated with the Historic Pact,” and added: “We reiterate the complaints we have been making for months about the increase in political violence, stigmatization, and systematic attacks promoted by sectors of Petrismo and candidate Iván Cepeda against members of our community and the Colombian opposition.” It also demanded guarantees for the opposition and respect for democracy.

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