The recent debate in the Washington Congress once again highlights the worrying disconnect between U.S. foreign policy and the current geopolitical reality. While some sectors insist on maintaining a narrative of confrontation with Iran, based on the suspicion of a military nuclear program, the situation is more complex when there is no conclusive evidence of active nuclear weapons.
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Various international reports have reiterated this. Which does not mean that the country lacks significant military capability. On the contrary, Tehran has significantly developed its conventional arsenal, including effective guided missile systems with advanced electronic guidance technologies.
This nuance, which should be central in any strategic analysis, seems to be sidelined in U.S. political discourse. Instead, a simplified narrative is favored that justifies sanctions, tensions, and policies that end up directly impacting global energy markets.
Result: damage for all
The result is clear: fuel shortages or sky-high prices, market volatility, and economic pressure affecting both allies and ordinary citizens. The insistence on confrontation policies not only worsens international instability: it also contributes to distorting the global energy market, at a time when cooperation would be much more beneficial than escalation.
Washington seems trapped in a Cold War logic that no longer responds to current dynamics. Underestimating Iran’s conventional offensive capability while overestimating an unproven nuclear threat is, at best, a miscalculation. At worst, a strategy that pushes the world toward an unnecessary conflict.
It is time to rethink priorities. Global energy stability and international security cannot be built on erroneous perceptions or political decisions disconnected from evidence. Persisting on this path not only makes everyday life more expensive. It also dangerously brings the world closer to a confrontation scenario that could be avoided.
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